Thursday, April 17, 2014

Which wins championships, offense or defense

Bear Bryant once famously proclaimed, "Offense sells tickets, but defense wins championships." Football statisticians have proved that wrong so I decided to check if that is true in soccer too. So I took a look back at MLS Cups and conference finals going back to 2002 and looked at the team's goals for and goals against to determine which team is better offensively and which team is better defensively. The results are below.

Better Offense, Better DefenseBetter Offense, Worse DefenseWorse Offense, Better DefenseWorse Offense, Worse Defense
1112103

The takeaway here is that it doesn't matter in the battle between offense and defense. A trend I noticed was thyat generally, in the first few MLS Cups, more defensive teams won. In 2003, only better defensive, worse offensive teams won. In comparison, 2012 was only better offensive, worse defensive teams.

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