Wednesday, January 14, 2015

5 year performance of MLS teams

Here is a table I made to rank the overall team performance of all MLS teams over the last five years. After some deliberation, I included Portland, Vancouver and Montreal. Even though they have not played all five years, at least all of them played more than 100 matches. Due to the inclusion of the three, I used points per game to evaluate the teams' performance.

TeamPoints 2010+11+12+13+14Points per game
LA Galaxy [1]59 + 67 + 54 + 53 + 61 = 2941.77
Seattle [2]48 + 63 + 56 + 52 + 64 = 2831.70
Real Salt Lake [3]56 + 53 + 57 + 56 + 56 = 2781.67
New York [4]51 + 46 + 57 + 59 + 50 = 2631.58
Sporting Kansas City [5]39 + 51 + 63 + 58 + 49 =2601.57
Columbus [6]50 + 47 + 52 + 41 + 52 = 2421.46
Dallas [7]50 + 52 + 39 + 44 + 54 = 2391.44
San Jose Earthquakes [8]46 + 38 + 66 + 51 + 30 = 2311.39
Houston [9]33 + 49 + 53 + 51 + 39 = 2251.36
Portland [10]X + 42 + 34 + 57 + 49 = 1821.34
Chicago [11]36+ 43 + 57 + 49 + 36 = 2211.33
Colorado [12]46 + 49 + 37 + 51 + 32 = 2151.29
Vancouver [13]X + 28 + 43 + 48 + 50 =  1691.24
Philadelphia [14]31 + 48 + 36 + 46 + 42 = 2031.22
New England [15]32 + 28 + 35 + 51 + 55 = 2011.21
DC United [16]22 + 38 + 59 + 16 + 59 = 1941.17
Montreal [17]X + X + 42 + 49 + 28 = 1191.17
Toronto [18]35 + 33 + 23 + 29 + 54 = 1741.05
Chivas [19]28 + 36 + 30 + 26 + 33 = 153.92

A few observations:
  • MLS is known for its parity and it shows. The top team has got about 1.7 times more points per game than the worst time. For the Premier League, it is about triple - the champion gets about 90 points where as the bottom team gets around 30
  • The top two teams are no surprise - they each have 3 DPs, including superstars like Keane, Dempsey, Donovan etc... However, Toronto landed at the bottom of the table. Lesson: It is not the money that counts but the smart money.
  • A relatively low budget team RSL has done surprisingly well to take the third spot. More over, they have shown remarkably well in terms of consistency: in their best year, they got 57 points, but their worst year they got 53 points, less than 10% down. Additionally, they got 56 points in each of the other three years.
  • DC United and San Jose Earthquakes on the other hand are most inconsistent teams. Both had very good year as well as very bad years. In their bad years, they got less than half of their good year points totals.
  • Most teams alternate between good and bad years
  • However, there are two teams that show year-over-year improvement for last 4 years: New England and Vancouver.

Saturday, January 10, 2015

Superdraft rankings of MLS teams, 2015 edition

As draft day 2015 nears, I thought I should update my last year's post on MLS teams' performance in the Superdraft. This time, while ranking the teams, I've taken into consideration of the number of first round picks the teams used to give teams with a low number of draft picks an even playing field. Otherwise, my basic methodology remains the same - to count the number of draft picks who've played 1000+ minutes in their first two seasons. There are six 2014 rookies who has played more than 1000 minutes in their first season itself, they have been included. The rational for the 1000 minute rule can be found at my earlier post here. Players will count for whatever team drafted them, regardless of trades, as this is about recruitment not development.

I included Portland, Vancouver and Montreal but did not rank them since there is not enough data for them, though Vancouver has done better than the other new entrants.

Like last time, New England and DC have remained as the top two teams in recruiting via Superdraft, while Philadelphia and Chicago has fallen behind - Philadelphia hasn't recruited a single player in the last two years, who met my 1000 minute criteria. Galaxy has done surprisingly well considering that they got low draft picks, except for 2009. Colorado have had the most improvement over the last two years, drafting Deshorn Brown, Dillon Powers, and Jared Watts. Also, Seattle and Columbus remain at the bottom of the draft recruitment rankings.

TeamNumber of draft picks who played
1000+ minutes in first two seasons
 Number of first round picks used  (2009-2013) Three players who clocked most minutes
(first two year's minutes)
Chicago  [B]             4                3 Austin Berry (5580)
Jalil Anibaba (5441)
Sean Johnson (3690)
Chivas             6                6Ben Zemanski (3599)
Zarek Valentin (3275)
Michael Lahoud (2556)
Colorado [C]             4                4Dillon Powers (2457)
Deshorn Brown (2169)
Tony Cascio (2222)
Columbus [D]             4                6Rich Balchan (1705)
Dilly Duka (1624)
Justin Meram (1475)
DC United [A]             8                5Perry Kitchen (5890)
Nick DeLeon (4087)
Chris Korb (3341)
Dallas  [B]             6                6Matt Hedges (4815)
Zach Loyd (4496)
George John (3300)
Houston [B]             5                4Will Bruin (4731)
Warren Creavalle (2504)
Kofi Sarkodie (1804)
LA Galaxy [A]             8                5Omar Gonzalez (5192)
A.J. DeLaGarza (3061)
Michael Stephens (3005)

Montreal

             1                3Eric Miller (1646)
Blake Smith (319)
New England [A+]            10                6Andrew Farrell (5653)
A.J. Soares (5075)
Kelyn Rowe (4630)
New York [B]             5                4Tim Ream (5670)
Tony Tchani (1722)
Ryan Meara (1620)
Philadelphia [B+]             7                5Raymon Gaddis (4278)
Michael Farfan (4262)
Zac MacMath (3555)
Portland             2                3Darlington Nagbe (4428)
Andrew Jean-Baptiste (2568)
Real Salt Lake [C]             4                4Chris Schuler (1728)
Collen Warner (1566)
Sebastian Velasquez (1537)
San Jose Earthquakes [C]             4                4Steven Beitashour (2295)
Brad Ring (2035)
Ike Opara (1399)
Seattle  [D]             3                4Steve Zakuani (4278)
Alex Caskey (1093)
Eriq Zavaleta (1354)
Sporting Kansas City [C]            4                5CJ Sapong (4306)
Teal Bunbury (3431)
Matt Besler (3252)
Toronto [B]            8               7Luis Silva (4043)
Joao Plata (2391)
Aaron Maund (1217)
Vancouver            4               5Jeb Brovsky (3742)
Erik Hurtado (2294)
Darren Mattocks (2211)